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Thursday, October 30, 2008

- alarming global warming effects

Report issued by the Inter-Governmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC):
  • increasing rate in global sea level rise from 1.8mm a year to 3.1mm a year from 1961 to 1993;
  • projected sea level rise at end of the 21st Century will be 18-59cm;
  • by 2020 between 75mil and 250mil people in Africa are projected to be exposed to increase water stress;
  • eleven of the last 12 years (1995-2006) rank among the 12 warmest years in the instrumental record of global surface temperature (since 1850);
  • in the past 100 years there has been a rise of 0.74ºC in temperature;
  • arctic sea ice extent has shrunk by 2.7% per decade,with larger decreases in summer of 7.4% per decade;
  • mountain glaciers and snow cover on average have declined in both hemispheres and
  • for the next 2 decades a warming of about 0.2ºC per decade is projected.

Key Problems in Asia
  • by 2050 freshwater availability particularly in large river basins is projected to decrease;
  • coastal areas especially heavily populated mega-delta regions will be at greatest risk due to increased flooding from the sea and rivers and
  • endemic morbidity and mortality due to diarhoea disease primarily associated with floods and droughts are expected to rise due to projected changes in the hydrological cycle.

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